3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
967 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,301/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$474
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$463/yr
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.66%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($463/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (7.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#57 in NJ, #1,498 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
Washington Township School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #257 of 472 in NJ (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Thomas Jefferson Elementary School (math 15% / reading 40%, grade F, #789 of 1,303 statewide, top 61%, 479 students, 25% FRL); Orchard Valley Middle School (math 14% / reading 52%, grade F, #271 of 431 statewide, top 64%, 489 students, 24% FRL); Washington Township High School (math 32% / reading 60%, grade D-, #133 of 399 statewide, top 34%, 2,075 students, 18% FRL).
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $249k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.5% in Glassboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9SREEA82X4Q0NJ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29