2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,468 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,451/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-842/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-842/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (7.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.1% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#550 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Willoughby-Eastlake City (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #434 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Royalview Elementary School (math 55% / reading 52%, grade C, #834 of 1,584 statewide, top 53%, 703 students, 44% FRL); Willowick Middle School (math 35% / reading 57%, grade D+, #464 of 654 statewide, top 71%, 455 students, 48% FRL); North High School (math 19% / reading 67%, grade F, #494 of 781 statewide, top 63%, 1,216 students, 38% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 35y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $138k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.7% in Eastlake — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9T22TYB3Y8M118
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29