3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,066/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$721
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$14/mo
Annual
$172/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.45%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$38,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($172/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (22.5% below list).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#533 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Marlette Community Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #142 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marlette Elementary (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 349 students, 65% FRL); Marlette Jrsr High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #154 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 367 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 47% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Sanilac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sanilac County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9TY8730RVC95MM
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29