2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,206 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Condo
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,041/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$238
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,426/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.78%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (23.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (30.6% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $104k (30.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#344 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Vinton-Shellsburg Community School District (rural): math 79% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #43 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Shellsburg Elementary School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A, #71 of 616 statewide, top 15%, 234 students, 42% FRL); Vinton-Shellsburg Middle School (math 83% / reading 81%, grade A+, #22 of 246 statewide, top 12%, 318 students, 42% FRL); Vinton-Shellsburg High School (math 72% / reading 80%, grade A-, #75 of 336 statewide, top 23%, 425 students, 35% FRL).
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $150k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9V0Z8BETZQK0F5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29