2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$74/mo
Annual
$889/yr
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.27%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($889/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (17.8% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#516 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Southmont Elementary (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 280 students, 68% FRL); Central Davidson Middle (math 43% / reading 44%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 684 students, 58% FRL); Central Davidson High (math 62% / reading 63%, grade B-, #179 of 535 statewide, top 34%, 900 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 39% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.5% in Southmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9VD5GY8JJ5YBZF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29