4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,658 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,101/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-143/mo
Annual
$-1,717/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.45%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (10.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (16.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $210k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District (urban): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #154 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $250k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9VG0NDABNM8FPR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29