320 S Manson St

Wolfe City, TX 75496

$62,900B+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Built 1960 · SingleFamily · Active · 75 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,144/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax + insurance: −$150
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$240
• Net cashflow: $425/mo
• Annual: $5,097/yr
• Cap rate: 14.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.94%
• DSCR: 2.29
• 1% rule: 1.82%
• Cash to close: $17,612

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
• It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $59k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($435 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,280 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Wolfe City ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #254 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Wolfe City El (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 347 students, 62% FRL); Wolfe City Middle (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #491 of 1,662 statewide, top 31%, 152 students, 56% FRL); Wolfe City H S (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 221 students, 53% FRL).
• Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.0% in Wolfe City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.