3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$838
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$-258/mo
Annual
$-3,096/yr
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.92%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$44,744
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (28.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (39.2% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $97k (39.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#246 in IA, #4,732 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Boyer Valley Community School District (rural): math 67% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #205 of 289 in IA (top 71%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Boyer Valley Elementary School (math 77% / reading 57%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 200 students, 38% FRL); Boyer Valley Middle/High School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #242 of 336 statewide, top 76%, 220 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harrison County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9VWTENBCQCZ6H1
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29