2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Manufactured
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$857/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$55/mo
Annual
$658/yr
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.61%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($658/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 34/100 on livability (#422 in NM) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Quemado Independent Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #10 of 29 in NM (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP.
Catron County population projected at -52% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and worn
Major: exterior siding
— weathered and exposed
Major: flooring
— worn and subfloor exposed
Major: interior walls
— dated and peeling paint
Major: HVAC system
— outdated and potential issues
CashFlowRE · CFR-9VXT6ZB9FGYW5P
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29