4 bd · 4.5 ba ·
2,992 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,113
Tax + insurance
−$1,056
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,194
Net cashflow
$2,086/mo
Annual
$25,028/yr
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.17%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$273,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath multifamily listed at $975k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $975k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($960k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $960k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#5 in RI, #2,367 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, cost of living F.
Newport (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #29 of 39 in RI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 94 units permitted in Newport County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Newport County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $776k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $273k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.1% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,449/mo this rent would consume 145% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 1294% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9WMYR61QGFF5C1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29