4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,003 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 930 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,011/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,205
Tax + insurance
−$701
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$632
Net cashflow
$-527/mo
Annual
$-6,323/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.37%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$117,737
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $348k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-527 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $344k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (13.5% below list).
It's been on market 930 days — a 12% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $301k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#478 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Flagler (rural): math 53% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #20 of 73 in FL (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Old Kings Elementary School (math 74% / reading 72%, grade A, #271 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 979 students, 52% FRL); Buddy Taylor Middle School (math 50% / reading 45%, grade C-, #288 of 571 statewide, top 51%, 1,343 students, 63% FRL); Flagler-Palm Coast High School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade F, #248 of 667 statewide, top 38%, 2,523 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: 472 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 88d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,588 units permitted in Flagler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flagler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.7% in Palm Coast — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,011/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 930 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen countertops
— The countertops are visibly worn and need replacement.
Major: bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and may need replacement or renovation.
Minor: exterior siding
— Some discoloration and minor wear can be addressed with a fresh coat of paint.
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· Data 1 month agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29