2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,170 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,373/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$560
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-524/mo
Annual
$-6,283/yr
Cap rate
3.15%
Cash-on-cash
-11.22%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-524 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (42.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (31.3% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (42.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Sloan Union Free School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #555 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9X60BC3H8FQ4CS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29