3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built —
· Manufactured
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,630/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$212
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$342
Net cashflow
$211/mo
Annual
$2,530/yr
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.48%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (1.2% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#42 in TX, #1,865 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Muenster ISD (rural): math 67% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #19 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Muenster El (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #146 of 4,322 statewide, top 4%, 307 students, 28% FRL).
Market conditions: 462 active listings in the ZIP; 190 units permitted in Cooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9XSB363MJTNWQJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29