3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,768 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,181/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$457
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$668
Net cashflow
$1,328/mo
Annual
$15,933/yr
Cap rate
17.76%
Cash-on-cash
40.94%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
2.29%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#514 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hadley-Luzerne Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #396 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.2% in Corinth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9YA5ET4QRPA8Y6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29