529 Playa Del Sol Rd

Ellisburg, NJ 08002

$162,000D

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 506 sqft · Built 1963 · Condo · Active · 66 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,760/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$850
• Tax + insurance: −$265
• HOA: −$300
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$370
• Net cashflow: $-24/mo
• Annual: $-294/yr
• Cap rate: 6.11%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.65%
• DSCR: 0.97
• 1% rule: 1.09%
• Cash to close: $45,360

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $162k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-294/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (2.7% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $152k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#60 in NJ, #1,517 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: cost of living D-.
• Cherry Hill School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 472 in NJ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Clara Barton Elementary School (math 12% / reading 54%, grade F, #650 of 1,303 statewide, top 50%, 473 students, 32% FRL); John A. Carusi Middle School (math 12% / reading 51%, grade F, #289 of 431 statewide, top 69%, 841 students, 29% FRL); Cherry Hill High School West (math 11% / reading 51%, grade F, #277 of 399 statewide, top 70%, 1,355 students, 24% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $29k; list at $162k implies a 461% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?