1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,569/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$633
HOA
−$1,007
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$749
Net cashflow
$-604/mo
Annual
$-7,247/yr
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.77%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-604 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $335k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in NY, #868 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Mineola Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #113 of 590 in NY (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hampton Street School (346 students, 36% FRL); Mineola Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #147 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 32% FRL); Mineola High School (math 92% / reading 80%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,078 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 34% FRL vs 18% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($138k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29