5955 Alan Dr #61

Brighton, MI 48116

$104,900D

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 814 sqft · Built 1968 · Condo · Active · 104 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,892/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$550
• Tax + insurance: −$175
• HOA: −$824
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$397
• Net cashflow: $-55/mo
• Annual: $-656/yr
• Cap rate: 5.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.23%
• DSCR: 0.90
• 1% rule: 1.80%
• Cash to close: $29,372

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $105k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-656/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (7.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
• It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $95k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Brighton Area Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #22 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
• Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $58k; list at $105k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.2% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?