3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,064 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,042/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$227/mo
Annual
$2,725/yr
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.74%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$27,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#649 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Pleasant Hill CUSD 3 (rural): math 6% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #821 of 919 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9ZHF8R8GD41P7B
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29