5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,918/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$438
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$243/mo
Annual
$2,917/yr
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.34%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Edgewood ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #812 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Loma Park El (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 586 students, 98% FRL); Gus Garcia Middle (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,536 of 1,662 statewide, top 93%, 505 students, 96% FRL, charter); Memorial H S (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 872 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 24% district-wide (71 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A1CKM185YG68NW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29