2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$662
Net cashflow
$-267/mo
Annual
$-3,203/yr
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.87%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (9.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $315k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $315k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 24 Andrew Jackson (math 81% / reading 66%, grade A, #371 of 2,108 statewide, top 18%, 1,111 students, 74% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 407 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $239k; list at $399k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,152/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 6765% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-A1DDDR2X4QN368
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29