2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,362 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Condo
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,884
Tax + insurance
−$839
HOA
−$1,370
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,142
Net cashflow
$-798/mo
Annual
$-9,581/yr
Cap rate
4.55%
Cash-on-cash
-6.22%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$154,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $550k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-798 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $544k (1.2% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($542k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $542k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 670 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
21 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $320k; list at $550k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,437/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A1HBHT4VJAKHBV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29