2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,436 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,050/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$582
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$753/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.42%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$31,080
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $111k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($753/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($767 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#183 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Kinsley-Offerle (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #172 of 280 in KS (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kinsley-Offerle Elementary Pre-K-5 (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #165 of 684 statewide, top 28%, 139 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 41% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kinsley-Offerle average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Edwards County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $111k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A2HB245H55XK9P
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29