2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,897/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$1,119/mo
Annual
$13,424/yr
Cap rate
30.70%
Cash-on-cash
87.17%
DSCR
4.88
1% rule
3.45%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#16 in OR, #355 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $8k; list at $55k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.7% vs local median 2.6% in Tualatin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn condition
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated appearance
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered condition
Moderate: Carpeted floors
— Worn appearance
Moderate: Paint
— Faded appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-A2PMB96CVE3MD2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29