1 Aviemore Dr

New Rochelle, NY 10804

$1,450,000D

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,307 sqft · Built 1927 · SingleFamily · Pending · 20 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $10,573/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$7,604
• Tax + insurance: −$2,208
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,220
• Net cashflow: $-1,460/mo
• Annual: $-17,515/yr
• Cap rate: 5.08%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.31%
• DSCR: 0.81
• 1% rule: 0.73%
• Cash to close: $406,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.45M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.19M (17.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.06M (27.1% below list).
• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.43M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.06M (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $44k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
• New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: George M Davis Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 667 students, 36% FRL); Albert Leonard Middle School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 1,086 students, 42% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $660k; list at $1.45M implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.