4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,282 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,494
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$501
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,243/yr
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$79,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Jenks (suburban): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #27 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jenks West Es (math 46% / reading 35%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 1,998 students, 0% FRL); Jenks Ms (math 22% / reading 30%, grade F, #79 of 345 statewide, top 24%, 1,831 students, 0% FRL); Jenks Hs (math 40% / reading 49%, grade F, #15 of 447 statewide, top 4%, 3,547 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 28% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $285k implies a 217% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A3CTH48P009QEE
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29