4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,835 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$181
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$241
Net cashflow
$-140/mo
Annual
$-1,680/yr
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.64%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (15.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (30.5% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $115k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#105 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Union County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #13 of 130 in MS (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A3DW5S3XHJ8W14
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29