3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,204 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Condo
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,231/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$259
Net cashflow
$-264/mo
Annual
$-3,168/yr
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.54%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-264 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (25.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#170 in WI, #4,627 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D.
Fond Du Lac School District (urban): math 34% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #255 of 342 in WI (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Fond du Lac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fond du Lac County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.6% in Fond du Lac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29