4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,428 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,521/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$426
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$530
Net cashflow
$150/mo
Annual
$1,805/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.39%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $150 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
South Colonie Central School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #215 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shaker Road Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 348 students, 0% FRL); Sand Creek Middle School (math 49% / reading 49%, grade C-, #294 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 868 students, 46% FRL); Colonie Central High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 1,538 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $200k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.3% in Roessleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A4K5GN0MJF8HQT
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29