None bd · None ba ·
2,184 sqft ·
Built 1953
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 127 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,940/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,110
Tax + insurance
−$2,827
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,557
Net cashflow
$-2,555/mo
Annual
$-30,657/yr
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.27%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$700,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $2.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-31k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-511/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.05M (18.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.69M (32.2% below list).
It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.20M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.69M (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#14 in CA, #671 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
Mountain View-Los Altos Union High (urban): math 77% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #11 of 517 in CA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 22 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.60M; list at $2.50M implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 1.4% in Mountain View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,940/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($179k/yr) (locally 981% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A4M8C233ADWA48
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29