3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,269 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-37/mo
Annual
$-440/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-440/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $183k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (25.3% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $142k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-19 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Holly Springs School District (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #111 of 130 in MS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Holly Springs Primary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #308 of 375 statewide, top 83%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs Intermediate School (math 11% / reading 14%, grade F, #143 of 179 statewide, top 81%, 228 students, 100% FRL); Holly Springs High School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #164 of 197 statewide, top 84%, 301 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marshall County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A51S6Z9VNC97NC
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29