2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,710/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$359
Net cashflow
$152/mo
Annual
$1,819/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (10.0% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $171k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#40 in GA, #4,690 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson City (town): math 73% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 174 in GA (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Academy (math 81% / reading 64%, grade A, #44 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 931 students, 20% FRL); Jefferson Middle School (math 68% / reading 66%, grade A-, #22 of 470 statewide, top 5%, 1,014 students, 20% FRL); Jefferson High School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade B, #6 of 424 statewide, top 1%, 1,214 students, 17% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 579 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.8% in Jefferson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A55651AA9W6ZZQ
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29