4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1996
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$538
Net cashflow
$384/mo
Annual
$4,611/yr
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.88%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $192/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (8.5% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#246 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Cumberland County (rural): math 30% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #59 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 452 active listings in the ZIP; 114 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cumberland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $155k; list at $280k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A5K13R69V1131N
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29