3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,823 sqft ·
Built 1860
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$1,104/mo
Annual
$13,251/yr
Cap rate
16.89%
Cash-on-cash
37.86%
DSCR
2.68
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#760 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Tri-Valley Local (rural): math 64% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #215 of 656 in OH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 140 units permitted in Muskingum County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
Muskingum County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $85k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $2,400/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A5STTZ38V6Y4HM
· Data 44 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29