9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,482 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 495 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,413
Tax + insurance
−$2,992
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,368
Net cashflow
$264/mo
Annual
$3,173/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$502,600
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1.5ba + 2×1bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $1.79M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $66/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.60M (10.7% below list).
It's been on market 495 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $54k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#178 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Santa Monica-Malibu Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #123 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Will Rogers Elementary (549 students, 35% FRL); John Adams Middle (837 students, 38% FRL); Santa Monica High (2,678 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.3% in Santa Monica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,009/mo per unit this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 495 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A61AHK3MFQ92AC
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29