3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 134 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,173/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$492
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$222/mo
Annual
$2,663/yr
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.14%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$26,250
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($648 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#250 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Southwest Dubois County School Corporation (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #56 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Holland Elementary School (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #197 of 994 statewide, top 22%, 254 students, 42% FRL); Southridge Middle School (math 53% / reading 56%, grade B-, #29 of 330 statewide, top 9%, 409 students, 58% FRL); Southridge High School (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #123 of 369 statewide, top 36%, 566 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 197 units permitted in Dubois County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dubois County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A6NY7JAXC3KW41
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29