3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-88/mo
Annual
$-1,052/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (9.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (29.4% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#838 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Twin Cedars Community School District (rural): math 50% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #261 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Twin Cedars Elementary School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 202 students, 43% FRL); Twin Cedars Jr-Sr High School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #299 of 336 statewide, top 91%, 156 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A769GDEBXJSP1E
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29