3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,960 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$692
Tax + insurance
−$345
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$-28/mo
Annual
$-332/yr
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.17%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$36,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-332/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (3.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($913 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#441 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Greensboro High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 294 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— dated and could be replaced
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— dated and could be updated
Minor: interior walls
— wallpaper could be removed
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29