6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,198 sqft ·
Built 1997
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 409 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,742
Tax + insurance
−$1,129
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,188
Net cashflow
$1,359/mo
Annual
$16,312/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$306,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.09M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $453/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.04M (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 409 days — a 12% lower offer ($964k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $964k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $46k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $153k; list at $1.09M implies a 616% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $307k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,419/mo this rent would consume 303% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 10080% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 409 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A86F6FES1MMHBK
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29