3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,433 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,494
Tax + insurance
−$185
HOA
−$19
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-189/mo
Annual
$-2,264/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.84%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$79,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (11.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (32.9% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Goldsmithschiffman Elementary (math 52% / reading 83%, grade B+, #34 of 627 statewide, top 5%, 964 students, 12% FRL); Hampton Cove Middle School (math 45% / reading 72%, grade B, #12 of 257 statewide, top 4%, 735 students, 11% FRL); Huntsville High School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D-, #18 of 305 statewide, top 6%, 1,826 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 17% FRL vs 46% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Huntsville City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A99QVF31GTNW3X
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29