2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,151 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Condo
· Pending
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,059
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$223
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$389
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$449/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.79%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$56,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $202k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($449/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (8.2% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#18 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, health & safety B; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Morrow Sue H Es (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #133 of 402 statewide, top 35%, 453 students, 100% FRL); Brown B Mahlon Jhs (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #44 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 804 students, 100% FRL); Basic Academy of Int'L Studies Hs (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #90 of 131 statewide, top 68%, 2,605 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 443 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $202k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A9XZZW034546AB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29