1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
827 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,764/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$871
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$580
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-838/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-838/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (5.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in MD, #2,463 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bethesda Elementary (math 48% / reading 52%, grade D+, #37 of 860 statewide, top 4%, 611 students, 21% FRL); Westland Middle (math 30% / reading 65%, grade C-, #12 of 225 statewide, top 5%, 845 students, 18% FRL); Bethesda-Chevy Chase High (math 71% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 222 statewide, top 8%, 2,335 students, 26% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 59% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Montgomery County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 461 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $106k; list at $200k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 0.8% in Bethesda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-A9ZDRN9RA0D6C3
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29