3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,413 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$232/mo
Annual
$2,780/yr
Cap rate
9.38%
Cash-on-cash
11.03%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#243 in IA, #4,704 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Atlantic Community School District (town): math 68% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #155 of 289 in IA (top 54%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Schuler Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #273 of 616 statewide, top 51%, 226 students, 40% FRL); Atlantic Middle School (math 71% / reading 74%, grade A, #90 of 246 statewide, top 38%, 329 students, 40% FRL); Atlantic High School (math 65% / reading 76%, grade B+, #140 of 336 statewide, top 43%, 485 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.0% in Atlantic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AA749F18PFZHVA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29