2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
902 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-32/yr
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.11%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-32/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (0.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (19.7% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#64 in IN, #4,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
New Castle Community School Corporation (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #229 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.8% in New Castle — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AB53ZW1ZXMVP3V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29