2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,647/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$725
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,192/yr
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.17%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Muldoon Elementary (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #139 of 156 statewide, top 92%, 466 students, 100% FRL); Nicholas J. Begich Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #32 of 36 statewide, top 89%, 882 students, 78% FRL); Bartlett High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #42 of 61 statewide, top 82%, 1,373 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 38% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anchorage School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABCSVB00Z4FWNX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29