4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,040 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,307/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$62
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$631/mo
Annual
$7,568/yr
Cap rate
17.95%
Cash-on-cash
41.65%
DSCR
2.85
1% rule
2.01%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#366 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Woodland (rural): math 15% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #192 of 270 in OK (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABPDCGCR2REGGP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29