2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
915 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Other
· Active
· 225 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,254/yr
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.27%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#882 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Appleton City R-II (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #434 of 535 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Bates County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bates County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: ceiling fan
— visible wiring
CashFlowRE · CFR-ABPDN6754KFQSM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29