601 Orchard Hills Dr #6010

Norwalk, IA 50211

$169,900C-

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,348 sqft · Built 2008 · Condo · Pending · 162 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,749/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax + insurance: −$287
• HOA: −$215
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$367
• Net cashflow: $-11/mo
• Annual: $-137/yr
• Cap rate: 6.21%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.29%
• DSCR: 0.99
• 1% rule: 1.03%
• Cash to close: $47,572

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $170k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-137/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (1.2% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
• It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#187 in IA, #3,367 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Norwalk Community School District (suburban): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #39 of 289 in IA (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Oviatt Elementary School (616 students, 22% FRL); Norwalk Middle School (math 76% / reading 75%, grade A, #65 of 246 statewide, top 29%, 787 students, 21% FRL); Norwalk Senior High School (math 72% / reading 79%, grade A-, #79 of 336 statewide, top 25%, 1,035 students, 19% FRL).
• Market conditions: 438 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 439 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Warren County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $111k; list at $170k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.0% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.