3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,258 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 260 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$170
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-922/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.47%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-922/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (14.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#506 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Bronte ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #473 of 1,141 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3 units permitted in Coke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coke County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29