2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
705 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,788/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$341
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$23/mo
Annual
$274/yr
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.49%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($274/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (10.6% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $179k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hartland Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #41 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hartland Village Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 474 students, 29% FRL); Hartland Ms At Ore Creek (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B+, #47 of 493 statewide, top 10%, 766 students, 17% FRL); Hartland High School (math 47% / reading 69%, grade C, #92 of 713 statewide, top 13%, 1,738 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 54% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $140k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.9% in Hartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AD2D6Q7PBBCMAG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29