4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,656 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$297/mo
Annual
$3,560/yr
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.07%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$32,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($794 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#141 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Jefferson County (rural): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #166 of 174 in GA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wrens Elementary School (math 16% / reading 19%, grade F, #931 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 430 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson County Middle School (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #417 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 458 students, 100% FRL); Jefferson County High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 631 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 78% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29